The SS
Disability Program and the SS Old Age and Survivors Program have separate trust
funds. So, there is some acknowledgment
of the fact that they’re different. However,
the extent of the differences is something we fail to acknowledge.
Disability
claims (and thus the disability trust fund’s balance) are driven by
unemployment. Thus, they’re no more
predictable than unemployment. Planning
for disability benefits involves preparing for surprises. By contrast, Old Age and Survivor benefits (and
its trust fund’s balance) are driven by demographics. Although politicians like to pretend they’re
surprised by failures to fund old age benefits, there are no surprises
involved. Planning only requires
responding to highly predictable realities.
There is
no reason to believe the same funding method, a wage tax, is appropriate for
the two very different programs. They
have totally different planning requirements.
Thus, it isn’t surprising that current and historical data demonstrate
very different funding requirements. Some
minor changes in the funding of old age benefits were discussed last
month. By contrast, disability benefits
require a total rethink.
There are
two options. 1) If disability benefits are going to continue
to be treated as a policy variable, they should be brought back into the budget
process and be funded out of general revenue.
2) If they are going to be a response to disability, they should be
fixed at a given level with a glide path toward zero as jobs continue to become
safer, the antidiscrimination act is enforced, and medicine improves
rehabilitative treatments.
The use of
SS disability benefits to conceal a failed economic policy is probably
unavoidable. To expect otherwise would
be to expect a degree of frankness among pundits that just isn’t
realistic. Nothing better illustrates
politicians’ willingness to consider putting expediency above common sense than
the insane proposal to merge the two trust funds.
Since SS
Disability is more like Unemployment Insurance (UI) than the Old Age and
Survivors Program, it would be more logical to merge SS Disability and UI trust
funds. Since “regular” UI programs are
state programs, the role of any federal government program would be analogous
to the role federal emergency extended benefits currently plays. This would be a logical way to address the
role SS Disability plays and legitimize the SS Disability Program’s claim on
the budget. It might even stir
politicians into thinking about prefunding emergency benefits (i.e., actually
funding benefits they promise).
It is
important to address disability from the macro, aggregate, perspective. Trying to develop an overall policy by
building up from individual cases has failed and always will. The failure is apparent in the data. It results in data that only makes sense
under ridiculous conditions. The
increase in disability claims could only be valid if medical research is
proceeding backwards and medical rehabilitative capabilities are declining;
vocational rehabilitation programs are failing or aren’t being used to
rehabilitate; the Americans with Disabilities Act’s antidiscrimination clauses
are backfiring, and unemployment causes disabilities. Even
if any of those were true, SS Disability benefits wouldn’t necessarily be an
optimum response.
People are
all unique so the SS Disability option undoubtedly has a role in the policy
mix. However, increased expenditures for
research on rehabilitation would seem a more humane response. The objective of our policy toward disability
should be to enable as many people as possible.
It should not the current administration’s focus on promoting dependence
on government.
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